The country had recorded a rainfall of 97 per cent in 2016 and 98 per cent previous year during the season, which runs from June to September.
A normal monsoon will not only aid agriculture growth but could have a positive impact on the overall rural economy crucial for the ruling BJP government as it faces critical state elections followed by the big National Polls in 2019.
Monsoon is regarded as "normal" if the average rainfall can be between 96-104 percent of the LPA.
The monsoon is considered normal if the average rainfall is between 96 to 104 per cent of long period average. The upcoming Kharif season is entirely based on Monsoon rains. It also predicted that the rain showers would be evenly distributed across the country.
The date of onset of the monsoon is likely to be announced in the middle of May.
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According to the weatherman, below 90 per cent rainfall is considered deficient and at 95 per cent it is considered below normal. The dynamic model has forecast a rainfall of 99 per cent plus or minus a model error of five per cent, while the statistical model forecast is 97 per cent plus or minus model error of five per cent.
For generating the forecast for the 2018 southwest Monsoon season rainfall, atmospheric and Oceanic initial conditions of April 2018 were used.
If the forecast holds true, 2018 will be third successive year of normal rains.
Ruling out the possibility of a deficient monsoon, India Meteorological Department on Monday predicted normal rainfall this year.
The rains after making a steady start in June and July, went for an extended break in August and also till early September which pulled down the total cumulative seasonal rainfall.