Tropical Mischief Possible This Week; Rain Chances All Week

An area of disturbed weather in the Western Caribbean continues to organize this evening.

Much of the extended forecast will depend on the eventual development and track of the disturbance moving into the southern Gulf of Mexico Monday.

The National Weather Service says the chance of tropical cyclone development is 80 percent within the next 48 hours for the southern Gulf of Mexico. The most likely scenario is for a weak and highly disorganized tropical storm to slowly develop by early next week. If that system hits Houston, it could mean a torrent of rain and possible flooding.

Far to the east is what the hurricane center is calling Potential Tropical Cyclone Two.

The next two names for hurricanes are Bret and Cindy.

The storm system is not yet organized enough for the NHC to declare it a tropical storm though its maximum sustained winds reach tropical storm strength of 39 miles per hour or greater.

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A low-pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico could be the first storm to threaten Florida during the 2017 hurricane season.

Tropical storm warnings have been issued for Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada and Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita.

What's better certain right now though of course is bearing in mind that if the storm does take a route eastward, Florida well feel more effects in the form of some heavy rain. Tropical storm-force winds begin at 39 miles per hour.

Forecasters there said two relied-upon computer models - the ECMWF and GFS - keep the system well south of Alabama. The cold front will also bring the chance of more rain late Friday into Sunday.

This portion of the Atlantic Basin is an unusual spot for tropical development this early in the season. However, sustained surface winds of between 40 to 50 knots (45 to 55 mph/73 to 89km/h) with higher gusts on the northern periphery of the potential storm are expected to impact Barbados late Monday into Tuesday morning.

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